Mortality, Length of Stay, and Cost of Weekend Admissions
BACKGROUND: Apparent increase in mortality associated with being admitted to hospital on a weekend compared to weekdays has led to controversial policy changes to weekend staffing in the United Kingdom. Studies in the United States have been inconclusive and diagnosis specific, and whether to implement such changes is subject to ongoing debate.
OBJECTIVE: To compare mortality, length of stay, and cost between patients admitted on weekdays and weekends.
DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study.
SETTING: National Inpatient Sample, an administrative claims database of a 20% stratified sample of discharges from all hospitals participating in the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project.
PATIENTS: Adult patients who were emergently admitted from 2012 to 2014.
INTERVENTION: The primary predictor was whether the admission was on a weekday or weekend.
MEASUREMENT: The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality and secondary outcomes were length of stay and cost.
RESULTS: We included 13,505,396 patients in our study. After adjusting for demographics and disease severity, we found a small difference in inpatient mortality rates on weekends versus weekdays (odds ratio [OR] 1.029; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.020-1.039; P < .001). There was a statistically significant but clinically small decrease in length of stay (2.24%; 95% CI, 2.16-2.33; P < .001) and cost (1.14%; 95% CI, 1.05-1.24; P < .001) of weekend admissions. A subgroup analysis of the most common weekend diagnoses showed substantial heterogeneity between diagnoses.
CONCLUSIONS: Differences in mortality of weekend admissions may be attributed to underlying differences in patient characteristics and severity of illness and is subject to large between-diagnoses heterogeneity. Increasing weekend services may not result in desired reduction in inpatient mortality rate.
© 2018 Society of Hospital Medicine
The “weekend effect” refers to the association between weekend hospital admissions and poorer outcomes, such as higher mortality rates. Analysis of National Health Service claims data from the United Kingdom suggested a 10% increase in 30-day mortality in patients admitted on Saturdays and 15% in patients admitted on Sundays,1 leading to the push for a 7-day work week and invoking controversial changes in their junior doctor (residency) working contract. Studies in the United States highlighting differences in outcomes for patients admitted on weekends compared to weekdays have mostly focused on specific diagnoses and results have been variable. Few have gone on to look at the association of weekend hospital admissions on cost2,3 and length of stay3 but results are overall inconclusive. Some have suggested that such poorer outcomes for patients admitted on weekends are due to reduced staffing and delayed procedures on weekends compared to weekdays, although this has been debated.4 The lack of consensus has made it difficult for hospitals to plan if and how to expand weekend manpower or services.
In the United States, increase in mortality rate for patients admitted on weekends has been demonstrated for a range of diagnoses, including pulmonary embolism,5 intracerebral hemorrhage,6 upper gastrointestinal hemorrhage,7,8 ruptured aortic aneurysm,9 heart failure,10 and acute kidney injury.11 However, other diagnoses such as atrial flutter or fibrillation,2 hip fractures,12 ischemic stroke,13 and esophageal variceal hemorrhage,14 show no difference in mortality between weekday and weekend admissions. Yet, other conditions such as myocardial infarction15,16 and subarachnoid hemorrhage17,18 have multiple studies with conflicting results. None of these studies have comprehensively looked at the effect of weekend admissions across all diagnoses nor compared the effect size between common diagnoses in the United States using the same risk adjustment. Reporting of differences in length of stay and cost is also rare.
We postulated that the weekend admissions are associated with increased mortality and length of stay, but that the effect would be heterogeneous between different diagnosis groups. Using a large nationally representative inpatient database, we investigated the association between weekend versus weekday admissions on in-hospital mortality, length of stay, and cost for acute hospitalizations in the United States. We performed subgroup analyses of the top 20 diagnoses to determine which diagnoses, if any, should be targeted for expanded weekend manpower or services.
METHODS
Data Sources
We used information from the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database for this study,19 which is the largest all-payer inpatient healthcare database in the United States. It contains administrative claims information on a 20% stratified sample of discharges from all hospitals participating in the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP), which includes over 90% of hospitals and 95% of discharges in the country. The NIS contains clinical and nonclinical data elements, including diagnoses, severity and comorbidity measures, demographics, admission characteristics, and charges.
Study Patients
The study included all patients who were 18 years or older and were admitted to hospitals participating in HCUP from 2012 to 2014. Elective or planned admissions were excluded from this study because of the anticipated degree of unmeasured confounding that would be present between patients electively admitted on weekends compared to weekdays.
Study Variables
The primary exposure variable was admission on weekends (defined as Friday midnight to Sunday midnight) compared to the rest of the week. The primary outcome variable was in-hospital mortality. The secondary outcome variables were length of stay (measured in integer days) and cost. Length of stay was compared only using only patients who survived the hospital admission to eliminate the effect of death in shortening the length of stay. Cost was calculated by using charges available in the NIS and multiplied by the accompanying cost-to-charge ratios. Charges reflect total amount that hospitals billed for services but do not reflect how much these services actually cost. The HCUP cost-to-charge ratios are hospital-specific data based on hospital accounting reports collected by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services.19
Covariates included age, sex, race, income, payer, presence or absence of comorbidities as defined by the Elixhauser comorbidity index,20 risk of mortality, and severity of illness scores as defined by the 3M Health Information Systems.21 Mortality risk and severity of illness groups are defined by using a proprietary iterative process developed by 3M Health Information Systems using International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision-Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) principal and secondary diagnosis codes and procedure codes, age, sex, and discharge disposition, evaluated with historical data.21 Severity of illness refers to the extent of physiologic decompensation or loss of function of an organ system, whereas risk of mortality refers to the likelihood of dying.